129 West Main * Moweaqua, IL 62550 * Phone: 217-768-4416


Friday, May 9, 2008  
 
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Local Cash Bids
 
MOWEAQUA Delivery Cash  
 CORN MAY
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 BEANS May
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ALL BIDS SUBJECT TO CHANGE
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BIDS ARE UPDATED ON THE CBOT CLOSE
 

Quotes
 
C - CORN - CBOT
  High Low Last Chg
May 627'0 613'0 618'4s -0'2
Jul 637'4 623'2 629'2s -1'0
Sep 647'0 634'2 641'0s 1'2
Dec 655'0 643'4 650'0s 3'6
Mar 665'0 656'0 661'0s 4'2
 
S - SOYBEANS - CBOT
  High Low Last Chg
May 1344'0 1327'0 1349'4s 51'2
Jul 1365'0 1330'0 1358'0s 48'0
Aug 1353'0 1328'0 1353'2s 49'2
Sep 1326'0 1300'0 1324'6s 50'4
Nov 1304'4 1276'0 1303'6s 58'0
 
W - WHEAT - CBOT
  High Low Last Chg
May 790'0 787'4 791'4s -17'4
Jul 828'0 791'0 804'4s -17'4
 
LC - LIVE CATTLE - CME
  High Low Last Chg
Jun 94.850 93.075 94.525s 0.875
Aug 100.550 98.900 100.200s 0.900
 
LH - LEAN HOGS - CME
  High Low Last Chg
May 80.250 79.400 80.225s 0.850
Jun 77.275 76.400 76.875s 0.400
 
@C - CORN - CBOT
  High Low Last Chg
May 627'0 613'0 618'4s -0'2
Jul 639'0 623'2 629'2s -1'0
Sep 648'0 634'4 641'0s 1'2
Dec 655'4 643'4 650'0s 3'6
 
@S - SOYBEANS - CBOT
  High Low Last Chg
May 1353'2 1301'0 1349'4s 51'2
Jul 1367'2 1308'0 1358'0s 48'0
Aug 1355'0 1303'0 1353'2s 49'2
Sep 1325'0 1275'0 1324'6s 50'4
 
@W - WHEAT - CBOT
  High Low Last Chg
May 793'0 780'0 791'4s -17'4
Jul 843'0 790'4 804'4s -17'4
Sep 856'0 805'0 818'4s -17'2
Dec 875'4 825'0 839'4s -16'6

Daily Comments
Less than stellar weekly export sales did not seem to have much impact on today’s trade as we rallied from the opening bell and closed 15-17 cents higher. CN and CZ made new contract highs today. End user pricing, bullish expectations for tomorrow’s report, and cool/wet weather in the Midwest were all supportive in today’s trade. Trade currently expecting corn planting progress to be near 50% in Monday’s report. Talk of active bull call spreads being established also supportive. Weekly sales of 16.0 mln. bu. (combined) was towards the low end of expectations. Year to date commitments stand at 2,222.5 mln. bu. vs. 1,835.7 mln. bu. at this time last year. Undelivered sales stand at 530 mln. bu. Tomorrow’s USDA S&D report is expected to show a decline in corn usage in the feed and ethanol categories. Corn exports are good, but will most likely be unchanged. More interest will be shown for USDA’s first 08/09 balance sheet. Estimates are for a carryout of 707 mln. bu. We really need a good corn crop to build stocks and with the acres we seem to be working with, this may be hard to accomplish. Basis Update: Gulf values on the defensive in a major way as corn stacks up at in NOLA. Market still working through the heavy forward sales from JFM. Interior values under pressure as a result. Active producer selling of old and new crop corn seen today.

Soybeans found support from corn today, as well as from Argentine farmers announcing an eight day strike and crude oil rallying back to near unchanged after early losses. Cool/wet weather hampering corn planting may yet be a negative factor for beans, but it is not readily apparent that this is happening. Beans managed to close 1 cent higher after trading lower during the session. Weekly export sales of 10.3 mln. bu. were in the middle of expectations but only 1.5 mln. bu. were listed in the 07/08 marketing year. This brings commitments to 1,061.4 mln. bu. vs. 1,034.0 mln. bu. at this time last year. Undelivered sales stand at 143 mln. bu. An increase in export projections is possible in tomorrow’s report and ending stock of 07/08 are expected to show another decrease. USDA will release its first estimate of S&D’s for the 08/09 marketing year, with an increase in ending stocks (compared to 07/08) expected. Average estimates for 08/09 ending stocks can be found below.

Commodity Quotes
Commodity Last Chg
CORN (C8K) 6184 05/09/2008   1:48:00PM CST - 2
CORN (C8N) 6292 05/09/2008   1:48:00PM CST - 10
CORN (C8U) 6410 05/09/2008   1:48:00PM CST 12
CORN (C8Z) 6500 05/09/2008   1:48:00PM CST 36
CORN (C9H) 6610 05/09/2008   1:48:00PM CST 42
SOYBEANS (S8K) 13494 05/09/2008   1:48:00PM CST 512
SOYBEANS (S8N) 13580 05/09/2008   1:48:00PM CST 480
SOYBEANS (S8Q) 13532 05/09/2008   1:48:00PM CST 492
SOYBEANS (S8U) 13246 05/09/2008   1:48:00PM CST 504
SOYBEANS (S8X) 13036 05/09/2008   1:48:00PM CST 580
WHEAT (W8K) 7914 05/09/2008   1:49:00PM CST - 174
WHEAT (W8N) 8044 05/09/2008   1:49:00PM CST - 174
LIVE CATTLE (LC8M) 94.525 05/09/2008   1:22:00PM CST 0.875
LIVE CATTLE (LC8Q) 100.200 05/09/2008   1:22:00PM CST 0.900
LEAN HOGS (LH8K) 80.225 05/09/2008   1:22:00PM CST 0.850
LEAN HOGS (LH8M) 76.875 05/09/2008   1:22:00PM CST 0.400
CORN (@C8K) 6184 05/09/2008   1:40:00PM CST - 2
CORN (@C8N) 6292 05/09/2008   1:40:00PM CST - 10
CORN (@C8U) 6410 05/09/2008   1:40:00PM CST 12
CORN (@C8Z) 6500 05/09/2008   1:40:00PM CST 36
SOYBEANS (@S8K) 13494 05/09/2008   1:41:00PM CST 512
SOYBEANS (@S8N) 13580 05/09/2008   1:41:00PM CST 480
SOYBEANS (@S8Q) 13532 05/09/2008   1:41:00PM CST 492
SOYBEANS (@S8U) 13246 05/09/2008   1:41:00PM CST 504
WHEAT (@W8K) 7914 05/09/2008   1:41:00PM CST - 174
WHEAT (@W8N) 8044 05/09/2008   1:41:00PM CST - 174
WHEAT (@W8U) 8184 05/09/2008   1:41:00PM CST - 172
WHEAT (@W8Z) 8394 05/09/2008   1:41:00PM CST - 166

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Local Radar
Moweaqua, IL
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Local Radar
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Local Conditions
Moweaqua, IL
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Temp: 62oF Feels Like: 62oF
Humid: 58% Dew Pt: 47oF
Barom: 29.82 Wind Dir: N
Cond: Rain Wind Spd: 5 mph
Sunrise: 5:45 Sunset: 7:58
As reported at DECATUR, IL at 6:00 PM
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Local Forecast
Moweaqua, IL
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High: 61oF
Low: 49oF
High: 68oF
Low: 40oF
High: 55oF
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High: 65oF
Low: 41oF
High: 69oF
Low: 48oF
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DTN Market News
Corn futures closed lower following the general commodity selling theme today. Crude oil futures led the others lower today on speculation that OPEC will increase crude oil output when it convenes on Dec. 5th. Gold and silver futures were also sharply lower. The dollar index traded higher today, and was able to eclipse the highs of the previous two days. Once again, new fundamental news is hard to uncover. South Korea was a buyer of U.S. corn again overnight, this time buying 220,000 tonnes. Wheat futures failed to offer much support today. Wheat closed 15-17 cents higher as demand news continues to support the short-term higher trend. Along with recent demand from India, Morocco also secured 316,000 MMT of optional –origin wheat for Dec. In Monday’s crop progress report, wheat rated in the good to excellent category fell 1% to 44%. The dryness in the plains states is starting to show up in the ratings with Oklahoma falling 4%, and Texas dropping 5%. Kansas improved by 3%. Technically, CH8 continues to encounter resistance in the $4.05 to $4.10 range. A variety of moving averages (40, 50, and 100) cross near the $3.85 area. If the outside markets continue to trend lower, watch for a test of those moving averages. Basis Update: CIF values were weaker today. Producer selling has slowed again on the retreat in prices. Central IL processor paid -3H for Dec. delivery.

Soybean futures settled 12-13 cents lower, following the sharply lower move in crude oil futures. Crude oil was down about $3.25 or a little over 3%. The weekly crude oil inventory report will be released tomorrow morning, with the market expecting a decline in stocks. The energy market will also be closely watching the temperatures in the U.S. next week as it is supposed to cool off some more. The bean market did stage a little bounce into the close as it was down over 20 cents at one point today. A little support was seen today from the USDA announcement that China bought 120,000 tonnes of U.S. soybeans. Weekly export sales are expected to be large on Thursday morning. South American weather is starting to be more closely watched as a dry pattern has stalled over the bean growing regions. Some relief in the form of improved chances of rain is expected to move into Argentina and Southern Brazil early next week. Technically, SF8 closed a gap left back on Friday. SF8 continues to trade above all the key moving averages.

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